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"I trained for everything, so I'm trying to showcase what I'm able to do.". There's one thing about Young that has some scouts worried, and that's his size. Come 2024, the Giants could tag him again, at a 20-percent raise over his 2023 pay. The No. The team went toe-to-toe with the Cincinnati Bengals in the Wild Card Round despite missing Jackson and very well could have gone on a run had he been available. My analysis is less optimistic about his future, starting him from a lower base due to his poor draft pedigree as a sixth-round pick. The Titans likely still have some time left in Derrick Henry's prime too. The veteran will be better supported than he's ever been in his career by Gang Green's tenacious defense and a healthy Hall will provide plenty of firepower on the ground. One of Lock's biggest issues could be edge protection. Running back Saquon Barkley didn't match his spectacular rookie season, but he was still the effective centerpiece of the offense when healthy in his second season vs. having Jones sling the ball downfield often. But Las Vegas quarterback situation is even more wide open than Atlantas after the club released longtime starter Derek Carr in February. With head coach Josh McDaniels getting a vote of confidence from Raiders owner Mark Davis, per ESPN, after a trying first season, the club would benefit heavily from signing Jones to a contract that would provide Las Vegas with some much-needed consistency under center and a talent for McDaniels to coach up. 6 | 2019 QBR: 53.6 (18th) New York is in deep negotiations with He's long been the focal point of this offense, but the pressure can be taken off and the aging running back's career can be extended with a more serviceable quarterback under center. If Jackson desires to play for a contender, the Falcons would be the favorites in the NFC South as soon as he signed and would have a leg up on their divisional foes for the foreseeable future. Given that tepid showing and a desire to finally contend again in the post-Matt Ryan era, the Falcons should have plenty of interest in Jackson this offseason. While his touchdown numbers weren't amazinghe only threw 15 in 16 gameshe limited his mistakes, throwing just five interceptions after coming into the season with 29 over his first 38 contests. Don't be surprised if he plays well in camp and makes things interesting.". The lack of 2020 weaponry, lowlighted by Barkley's major absence, put Jones on an island. They were hamstrung by health issues last year but still have the makings of a squad good enough to contend for a championship. NFL+ gives you the freedom to watch LIVE out-of-market preseason games, LIVE local and primetime regular season and postseason games on your phone or tablet, the best NFL programming on-demand, and MORE! Richardson is making headlines at the Scouting Combine this week, garnering interest from every corner of the league. Ja'Wuan James' opt-out forces Elijah Wilkinson into action, and the Broncos declined the fifth-year option of left tackle Garett Bolles, which isn't a great sign for a player at a premium position. He's able to make all the throws and still has enough mobility to extend plays and avoid the rush. He has flashed big-play capabilities but will need to become more reliable to reach his full potential. balls last season 213 more than any other Can the two sides agree on an extension? Unfortunately that dominant defense couldn't carry New York to a coveted postseason berth. "Using my hips. Yet there are some rookies with promising beginnings who didnt end up as successes players like Robert Griffin III, Marcus Mariota and Sam Bradford. No. Last season was a mixed bag that saw Murray win offensive rookie of the year, but first-round picks Dwayne Haskins Jr. and Daniel Jones struggle on bad teams. This class features some intriguing signal-callers, including a couple with boom-or-bust potential. The 2022 NFL season is in the books, and it's now time to turn our attention to draft season. Kansas City Chiefs general manager Brett Veach acknowledged this week at the 2023 NFL Scouting Combine the work that needs to be done to get under the salary cap. Atlanta has several avenues to pursue other passers, including the No. Several personnel evaluators believe tight end Noah Fant and wide receiver Courtland Sutton are top-10 players at their position right now. 4 quarterback, He inexplicably led Seattle to a postseason berth after going a respectable 9-8 in his starts, a vast improvement over his 13-21 career record leading up to 2022. 2023 NFL Scouting Combine: What We Learned during Thursday's activities in Indianapolis, 2023 NFL Scouting Combine stock up/stock down, Day 1: Nolan Smith displays electric athleticism. There may not be a better option available, however. They all add up to putting Jones on the brinkof being abig NFL draft bust, unless he can turn things around quickly. But on the off chance Jones actually reaches the open market, several NFL teams could potentially express interest in the former first-rounder. After posting an underwhelming 53.8 percent completion rate in 2022, the young signal-caller has been working on his mechanics in recent months. Well see if it gets to that, Schoen said. The only quarterback worse than Haskins in terms of EPA forecast is Josh Rosen, who Im declaring a bust already despite not having finished out his rookie deal. Jones, who recently changed agencies from Creative Artists Agency to Athletes First, may be targeting a salary as high as $45 million per year. Stroud, Ohio State = Jared Goff: Both prospects were accurate, and possess the necessary arm talent to make all of the throws. All Rights Reserved. The Jets are downright desperate for a capable quarterback at this point and Smith proved himself to be the most competent of all the currently available free agents at the position last year. NFL footage NFL Productions LLC. More NFL coverage , "Watch the way he handles the ball, his fakes, his play-action -- there's a lot of skill there," one NFC offensive coach said. First-year general manager Ran Carthon said this week hes excited about moving forward with Tannehill, who has a $36.6 million cap charge in 2023. Pick: No. The technique used is called Bayesian updating. A second-round pick is not guaranteed to succeed, so cornerback is one position New York could afford to be volume shooters in this draft class. The Stidham train screeched abruptly to a halt with the signing of Cam Newton to a one-year, incentive-laden deal in New England. He played college football at Given the reported gap between Jones asking price and the rate at which New York is comfortable paying its fifth-year quarterback, the franchise tender appears overwhelmingly likely. ", It's not too late to play with friends and family. The main question is whether the Bucs want to try to keep the ship afloat with a proven signal-caller at the helm or tear things down and rebuild. In his first year as head coach, Brian Daboll led New York to a 9-7-1 record and a playoff victory in the wild-card round despite fielding what most believed was a talent-deficient roster. DT | LB | CB | Safety However, Newton won a lot more games in college, and was much more consistent. "Giants can work with that.". With the Giants finally getting back to the playoffs for the first time since 2016 and winning a postseason matchup for the first time since their Super Bowl run in 2011, the team should want Jones back for a chance to build on that campaign. Below Ive plotted the year-end forecasts for passing grade and EPA per dropback for each of the 45 rookie quarterbacks with at least 200 dropbacks. Denver has two cautionary tales of how poor tackle play rattles a second-year quarterback: Mayfield and Sam Darnold. 2023 NFL Enterprises LLC. In 34 career games at Alabama, Young accounted for 87 total touchdowns. With that in mind, here are three best fitsranked in orderfor each of this year's top free-agent quarterbacks: The Falcons may have expended a third-round pick for Desmond Ridder last year, but the jury is still out on the Cincinnati product's long-term viability after a rocky rookie season. "My target time is: Definitely fast," Richardson said. The larger landscape of rookie performance shows a clear bias toward those who start strongly to become the franchise quarterback teams need to succeed. Jones would be one of the more naturally talented quarterbacks McDaniels has had to work with. The Giants drafted Jones and finally saw him blossom into a quality starter last year. Reich, a former NFL quarterback himself, is well known for coaching up his quarterbacks and could help Carr get his career back on track. Denver is willing Lock's success into existence, doubling down on receivers Jerry Jeudy and K.J. All rights reserved. With only one franchise tag at their disposal, can New York reach a long-term agreement with at least one of its high-profile free agents? Players the Jaguars could target Murrays range of outcomes based on passing efficiency according to EPA per dropback is separated from the others, but theres still a lot of overlap between all the quarterbacks. His strengths are mobility and We can use Bayesian updating and what we know about the variance of quarterback performance to also produce a range of outcomes for each quarterback. Jump into a draft >>, "He's got something to him, man," one veteran NFL quarterback said. Web"He's got something to him, man," one veteran NFL quarterback said. "Throws the ball well, really smart, big and tall," the quarterback said. Kliff Kingsbury's offense provides Murray with a full route tree to utilize, along with heavy doses of play-action and multiple weapons. Giants defensive coordinator Wink Martindale values man coverage skills, and the Giants sorely lacked that this season. The only team with more cap space than the Falcons is the Bears, who are not in the market for a veteran quarterback. We still dont know a whole lot after 200-600 NFL dropbacks. I laid out a more detailed explanation about the methodology behind this analysis in a previous article when I applied it to the 2017 quarterback class. Working with first-year Giants head coach Brian Daboll and offensive coordinator Mike Kafka, Jones set career highs in completion rate (67.2 percent) and passing yards (3,205) while leading the NFL with a 1.1 percent interception rate. 14 overall player and No. Stat to know from ESPN Stats & Information: Minshew became the only player in NFL history drafted after the third round to post 3,000 passing yards and 300 rushing yards as a rookie, and one of just three non-first-rounders (along with Russell Wilson in 2012 and Geno Smith in 2013) to achieve that feat. Where they sign will shape not only their futures, but the power structure of the league. And I started calling myself Cam Jackson in the 11th grade, just trying to make big plays.". The team already came to terms with a new head coach in Frank Reich and just needs a viable piece under center to start contending as early as next season. 2023 NFL Combine 40 Times: Who Had the Fastest 40-Yard Dash Results? WebSep 17, 2018: Patriots traded 2019 5th round pick (170th overall, Austin Seibert) to Browns for Josh Gordon and 2019 7th round pick (243rd overall subsequently traded, Nick Scott) How will New York Giants quarterback Daniel Jones, the No. All Rights Reserved. Raiders head coach Josh McDaniels is most well-known for his work with Tom Brady in New England, and he coached another pocket passer in Carr last season. Stroud and Kentucky's Will Levis. The Seahawks may not see Smith as their long-term answer, but he can still keep this squad afloat and a tough team to beat if he continues playing at the same level. Murray already proved accurate, completing 64.39% of his passes -- tops among rookies, 15th in the NFL -- for 20 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. "He has come a long way," one NFL defensive coach said. 15 | 2019 QBR: 26.8 section: | slug: nfl-draft-2023-pro-comparisons-for-top-qbs-prospects-with-former-nfl-gm-making-patrick-mahomes-comparison | sport: football | route: article_single.us | The Giants also got a stronger backup for Barkley in former Bronco and Raider Devontae Booker and reinforced the complementary blocking and receiving at tight end with former Viking Kyle Rudolph. Tennessee revitalized Ryan Tannehill's career after trading a sixth-round pick for him in 2019, a year the former Miami Dolphins quarterback would go on to win the Comeback Player of the Year award in. Potential contracts to address includes those of Chris Jones and Frank Clark. New York's interior offensive line needs to improve. He's got plenty of talent surrounding him at both the wideout and running back position, plus Seattle's young defense should only get better in 2023. 2 free agent for a reason: Hes a young quarterback with a first-round pedigree who experienced a great deal of success last season. After failing to distinguish himself for the Jets, Smith bounced around the league and languished on several benches. Georgia quarterback Stetson Bennett spoke with media members on Friday for the first time since his arrest for public intoxication in late January. Murray is largely in the clear, but the rest of the 2019 class is in the thick of bust territory. Gardner Minshew II showed enough to earn a starting job with a rebuilding Jacksonville Jaguars, while Drew Lock is well-stocked in Denver, and Jarrett Stidham has no promises in New England. 6 and Dwayne Haskins The team also showed it can run the ball under head coach Josh McDaniels, whose system helped Josh Jacobs win the 2022 rushing crown. Jones offers a different skill set. Upgrading the quarterback spot to Jackson would raise the ceiling on this offense immensely. With a crop of talented pass-catchers headlined by Devante Adams, there will be no shortage of weapons for Jackson to throw to if he winds up in Sin City. Its unclear whether new Titans OC Tim Kelly can foster the same type of environment or whether Tennessee would require Jones to overcome its offensive deficiencies. If Garrett isn't the answer, the Giants need to make to change there, too, looking for one last offenisve spark for Jones. If the Titans want to turn over a more youthful leaf, a young quarterback like Jones who is nine years Tannehills junior could make sense. By inking Jones this offseason, the Commanders would both finally have the young, talented quarterback they have long coveted and leave the New York Giants with a hole at the most important position. And fast. That failure to get the best out of Jones cost Shurmur and Shula their jobs, with Joe Judge and former Cowboys offensive-minded coach Jason Garrett as their respective replacements. And in a combine The only problem with Jones fit in Las Vegas? But needs to slow it down and play the game more from the neck up. Copyright 2023 YB Media, LLC. But Joe Schoen has the right mindset to do due diligence on this years quarterback class in case the team needs to come up with a contingency plan if negotiations fall through with Jones. Sixty quarterbacks attempted at least 50 passes in 2022 Mariota, Ridder, and Jones were among the 13 signal-callers who used play action on at least 30 percent of their dropbacks. Thomas played well against a tough Denver pass rush, but Solder was a disaster in his return, a shell of his former Patriots self at age 33. As ESPN talked with more than 50 execs, coaches, scouts and players about the top players in the game, one question came up a few times unprompted from well-respected offensive minds and personnel guys: That question was more an interjection as I rattled off some of the top names: Lamar Jackson, Patrick Mahomes, Russell Wilson, Aaron Rodgers, Deshaun Watson and more. How Murray offsets his 5-foot-9 frame with the ability to throw from the pocket is part Neo from "The Matrix" and part shortstop turning two. The franchise tag looms over contract talks between Daniel Jones and the New York Giants. Johnston is a lengthy wide receiver with great top-end speed. Here's who Spielman had: C.J. Garrett's plan was to go with the run-heavy offense he operated in Dallas with Ezekiel Elliott, only with Barkley as the new versatile workhorse. This includes the combine's marquee event, the 40-yard dash. With recent restructures to both Marcus Maye and Erik McCoy's contracts, the Saints have been steadily opening up cap room to ink Carr. Anthony Richardson, Florida = Cam Newton: Both possess rare size and Geno Smith didn't pan out for the New York Jets the first time around, but he could be exactly what the franchise needs almost a decade later. 8 overall pick in the upcoming draft and the aforementioned pool of available cap space. His feel and creativity at that level were If Jones became available as an unrestricted free agent, he would profile as an exemplary fit for Arthur Smiths offense. "He does a lot of cool s--- with his arm," an NFC exec said. Not every team would be a great fit, however, and these quarterbacks may want to consider more than just the contract they are offered when making their decision on where to sign. The non-exclusive franchise tag would allow the Giants to retain Jones for one year and a fully guaranteed $32.416 million. All Rights Reserved. Here's who Spielman had: C.J. The browser you are using is no longer supported on this site. The team has also some promising wideoutsincluding 2022 first-rounder Treylon Burkswho could see their development sped up working with Smith. How will New York Giants quarterback Daniel Jones, the No. During his NFL Scouting Combine podium session on Friday, Florida quarterback Anthony Richardson said he'd be a full participant in Saturday's on-field workout at Lucas Oil Stadium. Outside the pocket, Murray's QBR dropped to 25.2, a mark that ranked 21st. Well form forecasts for their true passing ability in terms of grades and expected points added (EPA), properly weighing results based on the sample size of dropbacks and priors, or pre-NFL expectations, based on their respective draft positions. While the Ravens roster isn't perfectly constructed right now, adding some receiving talent and simply staying healthy will put this squad in the upper echelon of the league. INDIANAPOLIS -- One of the most intriguing prospects in the entire 2023 NFL Draft class will indeed display his athletic wares in Indianapolis. Murray might not be a consensus top-10 quarterback in 2020, but he's coming. While there is still a chance Davis Mills evolves into a serviceable starter, the second-year quarterback underwhelmed last season and will likely drive Houston to select a prized prospect near the top of the 2023 draft. Jones' 23 turnovers in 13 games -- including 11 lost fumbles -- overshadowed what many consider a polished skill set for such a young player. New York Giants general manager Joe Schoen talks quarterback Daniel Jones' free agency, 2023 draft strategy, and more. The Titans seem to be moving in a new direction after cutting several veterans including left tackle Taylor Lewan and wide receiver Robert Woods en route to creating $35+ million in additional cap space. Although the two never found success together in their first stopAllen was canned after an 0-4 start to Carr's rookie seasonthe pairing could bear fruit this time around. Subscribe to Stathead , the set of tools used by the pros, to unearth this and other interesting factoids. With Brady retiring following a tough 2022 season, the Buccaneers find themselves in a strange position. Spielman and host Ryan Wilson also handed out their comparisons for the other top quarterbacks in the class. "Growing up, it was always Cam Newton for me," Richardson acknowledged. Evaluators say they love Lock's arm and moxie, but he must prove he can read defenses consistently. It is now being reported that the Giants have met with potential first-round pick Anthony Richardson at the 2023 NFL Scouting Combine this week (Jordan Schultz of The Score). There are always outliers who play poorly and then turn things around; there are also those who have record-breaking rookie seasons to flame out thereafter. Applying Bayesian updating to each dropback for all of the 2019 rookies gives us a best guess forecast for true passing grade for each quarterback, along with ranges of outcomes that reflect the confidence we should have in our assessments. He should test well at the NFL Combine but had limited ball production in Lexington. Jones and Minshew are in the middle of the pack with the 22nd- and 28th-ranked forecasts, respectively. The second plot shows quarterbacks who didnt maintain starter status beyond their rookie deal, or players we would consider failed picks.. But Jones still finished 18th in QBR at 53.6, and threw for 24 touchdown passes in 12 starts. I found in a previous analysis that combining passing grade- and EPA-based Bayesian forecasts in roughly equal proportions can predict a quarterbacks EPA per dropback better than either alone.
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