fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts

They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. Feb. 25, 2021. info. In this installment, we put that primary in context by looking more broadly at the relationship between urban centers and the Democratic Party. The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. It helps our wrinkle, which helps other discover the shop or just tell them on about this series, we'll be . They also debate the meaning of a recent poll from Axios that suggests Americans are exhausted. Rev also gives transcribers the autonomy to work for as much or little as they want. A year later, Trump still appears to be the de facto leader of the party. It's easy. You can get between 30 cents to $1.10 for every audio minute, which sums up to $18 - $66 per audio hour. We continue our conversation about challenges to democracy in America by talking with Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger. Zach and ESPN's Michael Schwartz break down the red-hot Suns ahead of their showdown with the Warriors, then ESPN's Dave McMenamin checks in on the Lakers -- plus . Whereas Tester . On todays Politics Podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19, and the midterms. The Deluxe version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see which party wins the House most often. The crew discusses Congress's recent slew of legislation and whether that trend will continue with the new "Inflation Reduction Act." Mona Chalabi of FiveThirtyEight.com joins NPR's Rachel Martin for a look at who those people are. The crew looks at how the Johnson & Johnson vaccine pause shaped public opinion of that vaccine and willingness to be vaccinated more broadly. The crew discusses the various types of legislation different states may adopt if Roe v. Wade is overturned, and how those policies jibe with local public opinion. As of Monday, all U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan following a chaotic evacuation from the country. Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn The crew discusses what we've learned from President Biden's first 100 days in office and from his first address to a joint session of Congress. Hosts of the British Talking Politics podcast, David Runciman and Helen Thompson, discuss why the British public and some members of the Conservative Party have soured on Johnson in a way that Republicans never soured on President Trump, despite his numerous scandals. We hear from two people involved in the progressive movement in New York City about their thoughts on whats happening in the race and how progressivism is shaping politics more broadly. New York City-based political reporters Gloria Pazmino and Erin Durkin discuss the current lay of the land in the Democratic mayoral primary and the issues that are motivating voters with less than a month until the election. History professor Yohuru Williams speaks with Galen Druke about how the protest movement sparked by George Floyd's murder compares with past social justice movements. Tia Mitchell, of the Atlanta Journal Constitution, joins the podcast to discuss what to expect from former President Trump's second impeachment trial. With two new hosts, Anjali and Prateek, the second season of The Big Story will feature longer and well-rounded discussions with experts across science, culture, technology, politics, and more. The crew talks about what led to Cuomo's resignation, how New Yorkers feel about his replacement, and what this means for New Yorks 2022 Democratic primary race for governor. FT Podcasts FT Weekend podcast 31 min listen Best of: Chef Mashama Bailey on reclaiming African-American food The award-winning chef explains her creative process 2 hours ago FT News Briefing. Over the weekend, the White House announced that five more classified documents from the Obama administration were found at President Biden's Delaware home. FiveThirtyEight Politics Biden Is Set To Be The Next President 2020-11-07 The crew reacts to the news that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are the projected winners of the 2020 election. They also discuss the trend of amateur candidates running in and winning House primary elections, and ask whether Biden's dismissal of the polls is a "good or bad use of polling.". From 2008 to 2019, the percentage of people who said they got their news from local papers fell by more than half. The crew discusses how President Bidens executive action that forgives up to $20,000 of student loan debt will impact politics and the economy. Were still waiting to find out what the deal is, but this focus on slow moving objects in U.S. airspace was kicked off by a Chinese spy balloon that the U.S. shot down earlier this month. They also discuss the politics of reparations after a Democratic proposal in the House to study reparations for slavery was voted out of committee for the first time since it was introduced in Congress in 1989. As Emanuel Macron has occupied the middle of the political spectrum in France, with a focus on cooperation among European nations, the opposition parties have moved toward a nationalist, populist agenda. OPEC+ announced its cutting oil production by 2 million barrels a day, President Biden is talking about the threat of nuclear Armageddon and shoes keep dropping in the Georgia Senate race. Ron DeSantis and former President Donald Trump. The crew discusses how Americans are feeling about COVID-19 and what types of restrictions they do and don't support after almost two years. They also break down the governor's race in New Jersey and other elections around the country. They also mark two years since the U.S. shut down in response to the coronavirus pandemic, by using data to explore some of the ways American life has changed in that time. January 23, 2023 Examined What comes next after Texas school shooting? They also consider whether a poll that asks Americans if they think the U.S. is currently in a recession is a "good or bad use of polling.". Micah Cohen and Kaleigh Rogers also join to talk about why Republicans are not backing a bipartisan commission to investigate the January 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol. With one week left until Election Day, the crew analyzes some of the high-profile races and which issues Americans care about most as they enter the voting booth. The results are mixed in terms of which factions of both parties performed well and the marquee Republican Senate primary race in Pennsylvania is still close to call and could remain that way for days. They also take stock of how Americans are thinking about climate change and government initiatives to stem carbon emissions, after President Biden announced a goal of cutting U.S. emissions to half their 2005 levels by 2030. This is the first episode. 9 days ago. The Downballot is a weekly podcast dedicated to the many elections that take place below the presidency, from Senate to city council. They also explain why a dramatic shift among independent women in a recent New York Times poll shouldn't be taken at face value but also shouldn't undercut the poll. Nathaniel Rakich discusses why it's difficult to draw a broader conclusion about the political environment based on the result. Bot Love was created by Diego Senior. American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. It's a busy week! The Rules of the Game podcast discusses and compares democratic institutions from around the world. They also consider Arizona Sen. Kyrsten Sinema's motivations for registering as an independent and look at the latest polling on a potential presidential primary matchup between Florida Gov. Politics Podcast: Baby Boomers' Strength Was In Their Numbers. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, In the 2020 election cycle, Georgia found itself at the center of the American political universe. Politics Podcast: American Opinion Of China Has Plummeted, Politics Podcast: Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech, Politics Podcast: How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did, Politics Podcast: The Politics Of Loneliness, Politics Podcast: The Elections Happening In 2023. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers across American markets and society on the whole. A lack of those relationships can actually have an impact on political behavior and interest in extreme ideologies. New rules for the baseball season, Richard Belzer dies and more prison for Harvey Weinstein and R. Kelly | Bonus sports & entertainment episode. In this installment, civil and environmental engineer Daniel Cohan joins FiveThirtyEight's Sarah Frostenson, Maggie Koerth and Galen Druke to discuss why the blackouts occurred, where responsibility lies and how politics responds to these kinds of crises. Galen Druke discusses that question with pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson and writers Ramesh Ponnuru and Henry Olsen, who have all spent their careers in Republican politics and conservative thought. They also ask whether it's too early to conclude that the leak of a draft Supreme Court opinion overturning Roe has had little impact on the political environment. . The crew discusses why the Republican National Committee chose to censure Representatives Cheney and Kinzinger and how different parts of the party view the violent events of January 6th, 2021. Local news is disappearing across the country. The crew asks why Queen Elizabeth II's passing has received such intense global press coverage. 10 Wednesday AM Reads. And they look at the experiences of urban Republicans and rural Democrats in a country increasingly sorted geographically and politically. The team looks at the popularity of the Democrats' COVID relief plan and how both Democrats and Republicans are thinking about its provisions. FiveThirtyEight Politics News Latest Transcripts How To Make Polls Better 240 views about 2 years ago 01:12:44 Galen Druke speaks with two A+ rated pollsters, J. Ann Selzer and Patrick Murray, about how they view the challenges of polling and what can be done about them. Ohio Rep. Anthony Gonzalez announced he is retiring from Congress at the end of his term. 04:58 PM. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what to make of the divergence between the conventional wisdom that Republicans will do very well in the midterms and polling showing Democrats leading in numerous competitive Senate races. MANAGER'S SALARY. As of this writing, we still dont know which party will control the House or Senate, and we may not know come the morning. In Matthew Continetti's new book, The Right: The Hundred Year War For American Conservatism, he argues that in order to understand where the right is heading, you have to understand where it's been. They also break down how candidate misconduct is generally factored into the FiveThirtyEight model. Thats Changing. apache saddles amarillo texas shockwave treatment for gallstones in the philippines price The crew discusses why the country responded to the attacks the way it did and how healthy American democracy is today. They also discuss Bidens sweeping vaccine mandate -- how Americans feel about vaccine mandates in general, how effective they are and if Bidens is legal. And what does Florida's new voting law tell us about the GOP's efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the party's larger motivations? In this installment, the crew plays a game of midterm trivia and analyzes the press coverage surrounding the latest decline in life expectancy. They also review a new report from the American Association of Public Opinion Research on why election polls had a historically large error in 2020. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and game-changers every week. [00:00:19] Instagram did not return a 200. - In her first-ever diary entry, recorded eight days after President John F. Kennedy is assassinated, Lady Bird presents a dramatic, cinematically detailed moment-by-moment account of those terrible hours in Dallas, and the days that follow. Join. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. Preview of Spotify. Make sure you select the language your Podcast episode is recorded in when uploading your audio. On the Conversations with Tyler podcast, produced by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, celebrated polymath and academic economist Tyler Cowen explores the minds and methods of today's top thinkers. Download this theme at theoneamradio.bandcamp.com/track/whatspoint-theme. And if partisan loyalists were to make their way onto the Fed board, that degree of power could be abused. By May 21, 2021 0 . They also ask whether a recent Gallup poll reporting that a record number of Americans are thriving is a good or bad use of polling. They also have a good or bad use of polling on the topic of death and consider whether a recent Facebook hearing will lead to new regulations for the monolithic technology company. They also debate the usefulness of new polling on Americans superhero preferences by partisanship and preview the upcoming Jan. 6 hearings. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. 1 min read; Jun 05, 2022; Bagikan : parade of homes matterport . Galen Druke speaks with the founders of the political research firm Equis Research, Stephanie Valencia and Carlos Odio. In Kim Barker's memory, the city of Laramie . They also scrutinize a new survey that suggests most Americans think "The West Wing" and other political TV shows are reflective of how politics works. In this installment, the crew discusses how any potential changes could reshape the nominating process. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast | Free Listening on Podbean App FiveThirtyEight Politics https://feeds.megaphone.fm/ESP8794877317 Follow Share 13.5k Followers 200 Episodes Category: Politics Last Update: 2023-02-21 Claim Ownership BOLIVAR The executive director of the Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne Joint Solid Waste Management District is going to resign from the position and will then be rehired. Dec. 7, 2017 | Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS 03 / Black Representation In North Carolina The debate over how districts should be drawn to ensure that minority voters are represented in Congress. Five Thirty-Eight sometimes referred to as 538, focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging. FiveThirtyEight Politics on Apple Podcasts 200 episodes FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News News 4.5 19.2K Ratings FEB 21, 2023 What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection It's a busy week! @Nate_Cohn: The Democrats are putting up an impressive showing in VA-4, the first special congressional election of the cycle. The book is the first big reported account of the 2020 campaign in its entirety and is written by Jonathan Allen, senior political analyst with NBC News, and Amie Parnes, senior correspondent for The Hill. Former FDA commissioner Scott Gottlieb joins the podcast to discuss Americas unpreparedness for COVID-19 and how the country should prepare for the next pandemic. They also consider whether a new poll showing that America's reputation has rebounded abroad is a good or bad use of polling. Since then, the FiveThirtyEight blog has covered a broad spectrum of subjects including politics, sports, science, economics, and popular culture. What does it take to make democracy work? During the span of 25 years, same-sex marriage went from being an unimaginable idea to settled law. The crew reacts to Senator Raphael Warnock's win in the Georgia Senate runoff. They play a game of "Guess What Americans Think," in which the panelists have to guess Americans' opinions on a wide variety of topics, including Elon Musk, inflation and Britney Spears. March 1, 2023 6:30am by Barry Ritholtz. They also take a look at whether the Republican Party is conducting a post-mortem after its recent electoral losses. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. Galen speaks with James Acton, the co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how leaders and experts weigh the risks of a nuclear conflict. Nate Silver and Galen Druke open the mailbag and answer listener questions, including how much it would cost to "fix polling" and why Vice President Harris is polling less favorably than President Biden. FiveThirtyEight - YouTube Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, sports, science and life. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. gold rush supreme second chance winners. Political scientists Yanna Krupnikov and John Barry Ryan suggest that focusing only on the Left/Right divide in American politics is reductive. The crew dives into four major investigations into former president Donald Trumps actions, the legal consequences he could be facing, and how the American public is reacting. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The team also discusses public opinion on gun laws after recent mass shootings in Texas, New York and California. If Europe, and of the shop leave us a rating or review in the Apple podcast store when you rating. The crew previews Tuesday's primaries in Georgia as well as contests in Arkansas, Alabama, Texas and Minnesota. Release date: 24 June 2015 Show more 02:13:21 - Heartland POD on Twitter - @TheHeartlandPOD Co-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 Rachel Parker @RaichetP Sean Diller @SeanDillerCO https://heartlandp The Gabfest, featuring Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz, is the kind of informal and irreverent discussion Washington journalists have The crew discusses which indicators are worth watching to get a sense for how the parties will perform in the 2022 elections. The crew looks back at what Americans thought about some of the biggest political and cultural issues of 2021. They also introduce a new FiveThirtyEight collaboration with Ipsos aimed at polling Americans about the issues they care most about in the run up to the midterms. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. They also talk about how the California recall election is shaping up after a recent poll showed increased support for recalling current Governor Gavin Newsom. Hello and welcome to the identity politics podcast I'm deal injury work. They also discuss the recent trend in Senate candidates refusing to debate each other and why Republicans can't agree on what abortion restrictions to pass. The U.S. shot down at least three unidentified flying objects over the weekend. The crew discusses what comes next in Democrats' attempt to pass election reforms, after their proposals hit roadblocks in the Senate. PODCAST-19 brings you the latest evidence on the COVID-19 pandemic. We speak with the director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, Patrick Murray, who wrote an article titled I blew it. Tuesday night was a test for some big names in the Republican Party in Wyoming and Alaska. This installment of the podcast explores the role that the Black church plays in American politics, through initiatives like "souls to the polls" and beyond. Just another site fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. 450 episodes. Most recently, he ran and hosted 30 for 30 Podcasts, part of ESPN Films. By our estimates, the Democrat is on track to win by 45 points, compared to 30 points in '22 and 36 points in '20. twitter. Cuomo denied the allegations, but has faced overwhelming pressure to resign from fellow Democrats, including President Joe Biden. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, but its not the only one. Its a bold suggestion, and in this installment of the podcast we interrogate it. With midterm elections in the rearview mirror, Galen and Nate open up the mail bag to answer lingering questions about the results. Nate and Galen discuss the latest twists in the midterms and answer listener questions in this installment of "Model Talk." How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? The crew debates the value of polling whether Americans want Biden and Trump to run again in 2024. Will Democrats Rally Behind President Biden In 2024? The crew recaps that race and other notable results from the June 14 primaries. Find us at ThisDayPod.com. They also discuss Democratic lawmakers' varying views on how to approach Senate rules and the filibuster.

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